Derrick Lewis vs Sergey Spivak Prediction and Stats: Who will win at UFC Vegas 68?

UFC Vegas 68 is set to be headlined by a huge heavyweight fight. Former UFC title contender Derrick Lewis will fight Sergey Spivak in the main event of the night. The event is also set to feature Laura Sanko’s debut as the first-ever female UFC commentator on the main roster. Hence, it is going to be a historic event nonetheless.

Derrick Lewis was supposed to fight Sergey Pavlovich in late 2022. However, the bout had to be delayed due to a medical issue for Lewis. However, there was no further update on the issue and the bout was rescheduled. Since then, Lewis has lost a lot of weight and currently seems to be in the best shape of his career.

Lewis is coming off 2 serious losses against Tai Tuivasa and Sergei Pavlovich. As matter of fact, Derrick Lewis only has 1 win in his last 4 bouts. All 3 of his losses came via knockouts. Hence, it is a big fight for Lewis which may potentially decide how his career may play out from here. But Sergey Spivak is not a pushover by any means. So how does the bout play out? Let’s find out!

UFC Vegas 68: Derrick Lewis vs Sergey Spivak, Stats

Lewis vs Spivak: Fight Breakdown

Fans are very much aware of the power Derrick Lewis has. In his 37-fight career, Lewis has 21 knockouts and 13 of them have come in the UFC. Derrick has become one of the most beloved fighters over the years and his willingness to stand and bang is a trait that has benefitted him in his career. In his career so far, Derrick Lewis averages 2.57 strikes per minute.

Although it does seem very few for someone who has the most knockouts in heavyweight history, Lewis has the power to knock out anyone with a single punch. For example, he knocked out Curtis Blaydes with an uppercut despite getting dominated for the majority of the contest. His ground game definitely needs improvement, but he has only been submitted once in his career. 

Sergey Spivak, on the other hand, has 7 KOs and 6 submission wins. So he can definitely cause Derrick a lot of problems with his striking and superior grappling skills. He is also the fighter who the momentum on his side. Out of his last 6 fights, Spivak has won 5. However, fighting Derrick Lewis is another ball game entirely. 

But, this time around, the onus is on Derrick Lewis to turn things around. He is on a rapid decline and his chin has shown signs of deterioration. So Lewis has to win this weekend to maintain his elite status. However, Sergey Spivak seems to be the favorite at present to get the job done.

Prediction: Sergey Spivak wins via submission at UFC Vegas 68.