UFC Las Vegas, JJ Aldrich vs. Ariane Lipski Prediction and Stats: Who Will Win at UFC Las Vegas?

With UFC 285 just in the wraps, another huge event awaits MMA fans this coming weekend as top UFC bantamweights Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili head to battle it out at UFC Las Vegas. One of the more exciting bouts on the preliminary card is scheduled at Flyweight between JJ Aldrich and Ariane Lipski. The event will take place at The Theatre, Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas on March 11.

Currently 7-4 in the promotion, JJ Aldrich has won 3 of her last 4 bouts, with her most recent loss coming to the no. 4 ranked flyweight, Erin Blanchfield. Even though she got submitted in her last bout, Aldrich has proved that she belongs among the best in the division. Her most recent wins include the likes of Gillian Robertson, Vanessa Demopolous, and Cortney Casey.

Ariane Lipski currently stands with a 3-5 record in the company. Needless to say, she has had a rough patch in her recent career. The Brazilian native lost her most recent bout via KO at the hands of Priscila Cachoeira. The said bout happened at Bantamweight, and soon after she decided to have her next fight scheduled at Flyweight.

Fighter stats

JJ Aldrich vs Ariane Lipski: Fight Breakdown

Having grabbed 9 of her 11 wins coming in via decision, Aldrich has a higher chance of having the judges favor her than. Despite knowing how to secure decisive victories, the 30-year-old former Invicta FC contender lands 4.05 significant strikes per minute. However, she seems to absorb 4.54 strikes in return, as per the official UFC stats.

‘The Queen of Violence’, on the other hand, has proven to land only 3.34 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 4.10 in return. This stat would help us conclude that Aldrich gets the edge, on her way to a decisive victory. Aldrich has also shown good head movement. Combining that with her ability to sneak in combinations using her well-known fast hands, she can take the cake in this one.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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In terms of reach, there is zero difference as both possess one of 170 cm each. Thus, it all boils down to how each of the two flyweights uses their striking and wrestling prowess. Another noteworthy thing here is Ariane’s move back down to Flyweight. If she has faced any undisclosed hurdles during her weight cut, it might show in her performance come Saturday, and it won’t be for the good.

Ariane suffered her last defeat in a devastating fashion when she got knocked out in just 65 seconds of the very first round. This could be a reason why she’s coming into this bout as an underdog, while Aldrich stands tall as a favorite. Statistically, this bout is closer than fans make it seem to be.

Prediction: JJ Aldrich wins via decision at UFC Las Vegas